Regional Leaders and Voting in Two-Party Autonomous Communities: (2007-2011)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyse the effect of candidates on voting behaviour in the regional elections of 2007 and 2011 in a number of Spanish regions (Autonomous Communities) included in the scope of the so-called "dominant model of competition". These are characterised by the total predominance of Spain-wide parties?and absence of any relevant nationalist/regionalist parties?in all electoral contests: Castile and León, Castile-La Mancha, Madrid region, Valencia region, Extremadura, La Rioja and Murcia region. Electoral research in Spain has focused mainly on the strong weight of ideology and party identifi cation in terms of voting behaviour, whereas the impact of the regional candidates themselves has not been analysed in so much detail. Using a series of logistic regressions, this study shows that approving of the regional leader is indeed one of the most significant factors regarding voting decisions.